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Dry Bulk Shipping: The Aftermath of the New Us Trade Policies
By total
Published: 2025.03.10
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Tankers Facing a New Reali
By total
Published: 2025.01.20
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The tanker market has entered a new reality after last week's new round of sanctions against Russian entities. In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Gibson said that "on Friday 10th January, the United States sanctioned Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegaz, two key Russian insurers and 183 ships, including 156 tankers, sending shock waves through the oil and tanker markets. Crude prices have rallied on concerns of potential oil supply disruptions, greater volatility has also been witnessed in a number of crude and product arbs. Spot crude and product freight across all markets firmed, with exception of most Aframax trades'

According to Gibson, "unquestionably, the latest OFAC sanctions target a signifcant share of Russian export capacity. For Suezmaxes and Aframaxes/LR2s, we are talking about 1.4 mbd of export capacity, assuming an Ust Luga/West Coast India run, To put this into perspective, Russia's seaborne crude exports averaged 3.35mbdlast year and product exports reached 2.44mbd. The bigger picture is that now around half of the existing VLCC Suezmax and Aframax/LR2 dark fleet (that trades only Russian and/or sanctioned lranian/Venezuelan) is now sanctioned by either the US, EU or UK authorities, Percentages are, smaller for LR1/Panamaxes and Handy/MRs-here in total just under 3o% of the dark feet is sanctioned"

Gilbson added that "the implications of the latest sanctions could be far reaching. if Russia's exports fall, with crude demand shifting to non-sanctioned producers, supporting incremental demand for the mainstream non-sanctioned fleet. There is already evidence that some traditional buyers of Russian crude are buying additional cargoes elsewhere. Undoubtedly, VLCCs and Suezmax demand will benefit if Russian crude is replaced from the Atlantic Basin. For Middle East producers, whilst shipments into India are extremely short haul, this needs to be considered against sanctioned tonnage potentially becoming untradeable. The clean tanker fleet is somewhat less impacted by the latest sanctions; yet, the Us, the Middle East/India and the European exporters stand to benefit if Russia's ability to export products to Africa and Latin America is hit. A stronger crude tanker market will also disincentivize Suezmaxes and VLCCs from cleaning up to engage in clean trade on East/West moves".

"Yet, much remains uncertain at this stage. Whilst short-term disruptions appear inevitable, can the latestsanctions be circumvented over time? What will major traders of Russian barrels do in the long run? Will Russia be willing to increase the usage of international tonnage under price cap rules? The FFA market rallied on this uncertainty, with the Baltic exchange reporting a significant jump in tanker trading volumes. Forward curves firmed, particularly through to Q2, with the biggest moves seen on VLccs, Suezmaxes, LRs and some MR trades. Although since Monday, some forward prices have eased, suggesting some expectation that Russia supply chains will adapt to the new sanctions", the shipbroker said.
Gibson also noted that "sanctions aside, news about the lsrael/Hamas ceasefire, which potentially could seethe end of the regional war, have also taken the market by surprise. Whilst the Houthis have long said that the attacks will stop if the conflict ends, how soon the trafic through the Red Sea resumes remains unclear. The Houthis have already vowed to continue its current practices if the ceasefire is breached or if there are further attacks from the lsraeli side, One would hope that next week will bring more clarity in terms sanctions, the ceasefire and the Houthi position. Yet, with Trump returning to White House on Monday, we should expect more surprises!" the shipbroker concluded.
Source: Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide




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S.Korean shipbuilders to benefit as steam turbine LNG carrier phase-out speeds up
By total
Published: 2024.12.09
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The retirement of aging steam turbine liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers is accelerating as LNG freight rates continue to decline. This year alone, 12 steam turbine LNG carriers have been scrapped and sold for dismantling after failing to secure new charter agreements. industry experts anticipate that dozens more of these vessels may enter the market by early next year. As the transition to next-generation LNG carriers gathers pace. South Korean shipbuilders, renowned for their expertise in LNG carrier construction, are poised to reinforce their global leadership.

 

According to industry sources, SK Shipping recently sold four LNG carriers, each 24 to 25 years old, for $13.8milion (approximately 19.3 billion won) per vessel. The ships were sold at scrap value after failing to attract new buyers. while the specific shipbreaking facility responsible for dismantling the vessels was not disclosed, the ships sold include the SK Summit, SK Supreme, SK Splendor, and SK Stellar. These vessels, which had been under long-term charter contracts with Korea Gas Corporation-a state-run LNG importer-were sold as-is while anchored in Singapore, ahead of their contracts' scheduled expiration at year-end.

 

Steam turbine LNG carriers, powered by marine diesel engines running on bunker C oil, represent the first-generation of LNG carriers. They are smaller and less fuel-efficient compared to modern LNG carriers, leaving them increasingly marginalized in the charter market. The steep decline in LNG freight rates has further expedited their phase-out. Rates have dropped sharply due to a surge in LNG carrier orders prompted by the Russia-Ukraine war and a recent mild winter, which reduced global demand.

 

DAOL Investment & Securities Research Center reported that short-haul LNG freight rates on transatlantic routes fell by 40% last week to $15,000 per day, while long-haul rates dropped by 30% to $21,000 per day, Daily rates for steam turbine LNG carriers plummeted to just $7.000-well below their operating costs.

 

UK-based maritime data provider Clarkson’s Research estimates there are approximately 230 steam turbinal carriers still in operation worldwide, comprising about 3o% of the global LNG fleet. Choi kwang-sik, an analyst at DAOL investment & Securities, projects that over 3o of these vessels could be put up for sale by the end of the year. He noted that the expiration of long-term charter agreements is likely to push more carriers into the shipbreaking market, with two to three vessels expected to be dismantled each month in 2024.

 

In South Korea, H-LlNE Shipping and Hyundai LNG shipping operate six and nine steam turbine LNG carriers. Respectively, while Pan Ocean has reportedly divested a number of low-margin LNG carriers. HMM, which exited the LNG sector in 2014 by selling its LNG division, no longer owns any LNG vessels.

 

A shipping industry official commented, "The phase-out of steam turbine LNG carriers reflects a broader global trend. These older vessels are losing their competitive edge, and amid declining freight rates, they are naturally being replaced by more efficient, modern carriers.

Source: The Chosun Daily


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Strong Momentum in the S&P Market Continues
By total
Published: 2024.10.17
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Demand for second hand ships, most notably bulkers, continued throughout the pastweek.   In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Banchero Costa said that "during the weekthe Nord Virgo 82,ooo dwt built 2014 JMU (Ss due 2029 ME Scrubber fitted) was soldat $26.1 mln, which is in line with the last sale, the Martha 82,000 dwt built 2014 Tadotsu at$26 mln a couple of weeks ago.   in the Panamax segment the Glory 76,ooo dwt built 2005Tsuneishi (SS/DD due Mar 2025 BwTS fitted) was reported at $11.1 mln, back in July theNavios Taurus 2005 lmabari built was done at $12 min. in the Supra segment the Leon Oekter s8,ooo dwt built2008 Tsuneishi Cebu (ss due 2028 BwTs fitted) was reported sold at $15.35 mln to Chinese buyers.

 

Greek buyers were behind the purchase of the Blue Dragon 38.ooo dwt built 2011 lmabari (SS/DD due Jan2025) at $15.2 mln, during the summer the Sea Smile 2012 Watanabe built was done at $17 min, in the tankermarket the PS Genova 108,000 dwt built 2010 Hudong (LR2 / dpp trader) was reported commited in excess of$40 mln to Turkish buyers. Few MRs changed hands during the week with the White Peach 53.000 dwt built2007 Guangzhou (ice class 1A BwTs ) was sold at $22 mln, the Alithini ll 49,ooo dwt built 2008 sTX( ss due2028 BWTS fitted) was done at $27 mln to UAE buvers and the Butterfly 46,ooo dwt built 2004 STX(SS/DDpassed this year) was sold at $18 mln to Hong Kong buyers".

 

In a separate report, shipbroker Xclusiv added that "on the Capesize sector, the "sG Express"- 18oK/200g Dalianwas sold for UsD 27 mils, while the 4-year-older "Lila Cochin" - 174K/2005 sws was sold for UsD 18 mils toChinese buyers. Moving down the sizes, Greek buyers acquired the Post-Panamax "Lowlands Energy" -96K/2013 lmabari for UsD 23 mils. The Electronic M/E Kamsarmax "Nord Pluto"- 82K/2014 was sold for UsD 24mils to Greek buyers, while the Electronic M/E and Scrubber fitted "Nord Virgo” - 81K/2014 JMU found newowners for USD 26 mills. Moreover, on the same sector, German buyers acquired the "Bulk Portugal” - 82K/2012[suneishi for UsD 22.5 mills basis 5-year BBHP. On the Ultramax sector, the "Theresa Pride” - 63K/2021 Oshimawas sold for 39 mils to Middle eastern buyers. 2x Supramax vessels, the "Lascombes" - 57K/2011 Qingshan andthe "Gruaud Larose" - 57K/2011 Qingshan found new owners for USD 12.8 each. Finally, the lce Class 1CHandysize "Kujawy"- 39K/2005 Tianjin Xingang was sold for a shade below UsD 8 mills".

 

Meanwhile, "on the VLcc sector, the "Gesi" - 306K/2007 Daewoo was sold for UsD 43.25 mills. On the MR2sector, italian buyers have exercised their purchase option on the "High Navigator" - 5oK/2018 JMU for UsD34.4 mills, while the "Butterly" - 46K/2004 $TX was sold for UsD 18 mills to chinese buyers. Shell linternationalfinalized an agreement with Guangzhou Shipyard for 10 x 5o,ooo dwt MR2 (scrubber fitted). The price wasreported at $48 mln per vessel, with deliveries scheduled between December 2o27 and 2o30. The Chinesegiant Evergreen placed an order for 8 x 16,ooo teu at lmabari. The Japanese yard can offer earlier deliveriescompared to the already congested chinese and Korean yards, deliveries are set between April 2027 and April2028" Xclusiy concluded.

Source: Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide



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Dry Bulk Carriers Becoming More Expensive
By total
Published: 2024.08.26
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Prices for second hand bulk carriers have been rising, reflecting the overall positive trend in the dry bulk market, In its latest weekly report.shipbroker Intermodal said that "the dry bulk market has seen a rise in secondhand asset values this year, While average earnings have remained healthy, the ratio between earnings and asset values has deviated from historical trends, with asset prices rising disproportionately relative toaverage earnings. Despite these discrepancies, there has been strong interest in secondhand sales and purchase activity, pushing prices higher. This strong market activity persists even in the face of uncertainties, including fears of a global economic slowdown, the ongoing slump inthe Chinese real estate sector, and geopolitical turmoil in the Middle East, factors that could potentially result in negative momentum for the remainder of the year. In this report, we willexamine the sales and purchase activity in the dry bulk sector throughout 2024"

 

Beginning with Capesize sale and purchase activity, last month we saw 9 vessels changing hands, bringing the total number of Capesize transactions in 2024 to 82. This marks the highest number ever recorded for the first seven months of a year, surpassing the previous record set in 2023, when 69 Capesize units were traded in the same period, culminating in a record total of 124 sales for the entire year, Regarding Panamax/Kamsarmax sale and purchase activity, six deals were completed last month. The year-to-date volume stands at 83 deals, surpassing the 62 sales recorded in the same period last year but falling short of the 89 sales in 2022 and below the record number of 121 sales recorded during the frst seven months of 2021.

 

As far as the Supramax/Ultramax sector is concerned, 15 sales occurred last month, bringing the total numberof sales this year to 158. This figure surpasses the transaction volumes of 2023 and 2022, which saw 143 and 156 sales respectively during the first seven months of each year. However, similar to the Panamax/Kamsarmax sector, 2021 holds the record with a total of 2o3 transactions during the same period", said Mr, Yiannis ParganasHead of Research Department with Intermodal.

 

He added that "the question is whether the looming uncertainty, combined with rising prices, might encourage owners to opt for sales to capitalize on the current momentum in the SnP market. This shift could potentially alter the equililbrium between supply and demand, leading to an increase in supply and consequently causing secondhand vessel prices to trend downward in the coming months", intermodal's analyst concluded.

Source: Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide



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Dry Bulk Demand Pushed the Market HigherDuring the First Half of 2024
By total
Published: 2024.07.15
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The Case for Handy Tankers
By total
Published: 2024.06.03
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The Handy tanker segment is about to face a supply crunch, as a result of years of underinvestment.  In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Gibson said that “despite being the oldest deep sea tanker fleet, the Handy sector (32,000 – 42,000 dwt) has been the least invested tanker sector of the past decade.  Whilst the Handy market has also been most impacted by the War in Ukraine, both from a sale and purchase and trading perspective, there is still a clear need for modern well approved tonnage, with the sector facing a major supply crunch in the years ahead”.

According to Gibson, “from a demand perspective, one cannot hide the fact that demand has declined, with a reduction in Russian cargoes being the key factor.  However, clean Handy demand has been stable since 2022, whilst the fleet continues to age.  In the dirty market, demand also looks to be steady, with 2024 ytd tonne miles similar to 2023.  Evidently for now the decline in demand appears to have paused”.

Gibson added that “spot fixture activity has also evolved.  Fixture numbers for Handies loading in the Med and NW Europe have grown steadily since 2021, as the need to distribute barrels across Europe has increased following the embargo on Russian oil.  This has of course coincided with a drop on spot fixtures from Russia, although part of this drop will be attributable to a lack of transparency in Russian loadings.  Nevertheless, it signals an increase in non-Russian trade, at a time where more Handies have been sold into the dark fleet”.

“From a supply perspective, as of today 74% of the fleet is over 15 years of age, whilst 29% stands over 20 years old.  Due to the newbuilding boom prior to the financial crisis, we now see 223 vessels turning 20 years old between 2024 and 2028, with these vessels not being replaced, meaning that by 2028, ~70% of the Handy fleet could be over 20 years old.  Today we count just 13 vessels on order, most of which are destined for specific trades.  Given that the top charterers for Handies are typically European oil majors and large commodity traders, the ageing of the fleet is problematic.  Whilst some vetting policies have had to adjust to market realities, stretching vetting criteria to accept vessels over 20 years of age may be step too far for many charterers”, the shipbroker said.

Gibson concluded that “as such, something needs to change.  Either the market needs to move towards MR sized stems with port infrastructure being upgraded where possible, or if the market continues to prefer Handy sized tankers, then newbuilding investment will be required”.
Source: Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide



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Ship Owners Looking for more S&P Deals
By total
Published: 2024.04.22
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Tanker Newbuilding Orders Going Strong
By total
Published: 2024.03.04
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Tanker ordering activity has continued to dominate newbuilding contracts over the past week.  In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Intermodal said that “this week saw more tanker orders as low orderbooks and high freight rates encourage owners to order more vessels.  Greeks were present in the market with Evalend Shipping ordering two 300kdwt tankers from Hanwa Ocean for delivery in 2026.  The scrubber-equipped duo cost $128.1m.  Similarly, Greece’s Dynacom ordered two 155k dwt tankers from China’s New Times, costing $83m each and due to be on the water in 2027.  The vessels will be scrubber-equipped and LNG capable.  In the PCTC sector, options were exercised with Huyndai Glovis and Wallenious Wilhelmsen ordering 4 x 10,800 ceu and 2 x 9,300 ceu PCTC vessels respectively.  Finally, the Greeks were also active in the container sector, with Danaos ordering two 8,258 TEU vessels from JNY for delivery between 2026-2027.  The ships will be methanol-ready and scrubber equipped.  Interestingly, there were no new orders for bulk carriers.

In a similar report this week, shipbroker Xclusiv added that “VLCCs dominated newbuilding activity.  Clients of Evalend ordered one pair of scrubber-fitted VLCCs from Hanwha Ocean for USD 128.1 million each, scheduled for delivery at the end of 2026.  Additionally, Seatankers placed an order for six VLCCs with an option for two more from Dalian Shipbuilding, with deliveries staggered from Q3 2026 to Q2 2027.  Evalend also ordered two 83,000 CBM VLACs from HHI at USD 121 million each, with deliveries scheduled between Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.  Seacon placed an order for four 18,500 DWT product/chemical tankers from Fujian Southeast Shipbuilding, with each methanol-ready vessel costing around USD 32.3 million and deliveries set for late 2025 to early 2026”.

Meanwhile, in the S&P Market, Xclusiv also noted that “Capesize and Newcastlemax segments keep their robust pace, as another 6 vessels changed hands this week.  Clients of Pan Ocean acquired the Electronic M/E “Pacific Assurance” – 208K/2014 Imabari for USD 49 mills.  The Scrubber fitted and Electronic M/E “True Cartier”- 181K/2014 Imabari was sold for USD 41 mills to clients of Oldendorff, while the 3-year older Scrubber fitted“Star Audrey” – 175K/2011 New Times was sold for USD 27 mills to Greek buyers.  The PostPanamax “ CMB Pomerol” – 96K/2012 Imabari sold for USD 21 mills to Greek buyers, while the Kamsarmax “The Prosperity” – 82K/2017 Tsuneishi Zhoushan was sold for USD 31.5 mills to European buyers.

Chinese buyers acquired the vintage Panamax “Angelina” – 75K/2001 Daewoo for USD 7 mills.  The Electronic M/E Ultramax “Darya Padma” – 61K/2015 JMU found new owners for USD 28.7 mills.  Greek buyers acquired the Supramax “Pacific Integrity”- 56K/2013 Mitsui for USD 20.5 mills, while the 15-year old Scrubber fitted “Crested Eagle” – 56K/2009 IHI scrubber fitted sold for USD 14.95 mills to Chinese buyers.  Last but not least, on the Handysize sector, the Ice Class 1C and Electronic M/E “Interlink Amenity” – 40K/2018 Huatai Heavy was sold to clients of Precious Shipping for USD 25.25 mills basis indexlinked charter till July 2024, while the “Ultra Vanscoy” – 38K/2013 Mitsubishi was sold for excess USD 18 mills.  Meanwhile, the tanker S&P activity was subdued this week with only one sale having to report.  The LR1 “Gladiator” – 73K/2001 HHI was sold for high USD teens”, the shipbroker concluded.
Source: Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide


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The Dry Bulk Market’s Latest Headwinds Could Intensify
By total
Published: 2024.01.22
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The dry bulk market’s downturn over the past few days could persist over the coming weeks, as we’re entering a traditionally “soft” patch of each year, around China’s New Year celebrations.  In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Xclusiv said that “the dry bulk market has started the new year on the back foot.  The market’s correction following the nearly 40-day rally (November-December 2023) is a reality, and it appears to be intensifying as we approach the Chinese New Year.  Within the first two weeks of 2024, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) has lost almost 31%, compared to the 18% loss it experienced in the last two weeks of 2023.  Capesize vessels have seen their average five-route time charter (T/C) rate fall to $18,015 per day, about 38% lower than at the end of 2023.  Meanwhile, Panamax five-route T/C rates and Handysize seven-route T/C rates have declined by around 24% in the first two weeks of 2024, reaching $12,693 and $11,089 per day, respectively.  Supramax vessels have experienced the smallest drop in rates at the beginning of the year, with a 17% decline, bringing their average 10 T/C rate to $11,967 per day.  This correction in freight rates is certainly not a cause for alarm or a sign of a “bad market,” as intense volatility has become the norm over the past four years.  Of course, seasonality and commodities stockpiling ahead of the Lunar New Year holiday (10 February 2024 to 17 February 2024) have also played a significant role”.

According to Xclusiv, “China, having emerged from the COVID-19 pandemic, is actively pursuing a return to pre-pandemic levels of economic activity.  According to official customs data, China’s coal imports soared by a remarkable 61.8%, reaching an unprecedented high in 2023.  Last year’s imports totalled 474.42 million metric tons, eclipsing the previous record and exceeding initial projections of 470 million tons for the entire year by approximately 5 million metric tons.  Additionally, last month’s coal imports set an all-time monthly record of 47.3 million tons, marking an 8.7% increase from November.  This surge in imports can be attributed to a record-breaking cold wave that gripped various regions of the country, driving up coal demand.

China’s crude imports rebounded 10.3% month on month to 11.44 million b/d in December 2023 from a four-month low in November, while oil products exports fell to a six-month low of 4.64 million mt amid tight export allowances.  The month-on-month gain in crude imports was within expectations as independent refineries were set to bring more barrels once new import quotas were available.  Exports of oil products dropped 39.7% year on year in December but pushed total outflow in 2023 to gain 16.7% from a year ago to 62.69 million mt. The year-on-year gain of 80.3% in oil products imports, which was stronger than exports, led China’s net oil product exports to drop 45% to 14.99 million mt in 2023.  In December, China imported 4.76 million mt of oil products, surging 45.2% year on year and growing 14.5% from November, customs data showed”.

Meanwhile, the shipbroker added that “the Red Sea situation is deteriorating rapidly, raising concerns about a prolonged closure of the vital trade route and its potential economic and inflationary consequences for the global economy, businesses, and consumers.  Following the recent US-UK airstrike on Houthi targets, the Houthi rebels have threatened to escalate their attacks on shipping vessels.  In response, Danish tanker company Torm A/S has suspended all transits through the southern Red Sea, and Japanese shipping giant Mitsui O.S.K. Lines has imposed an immediate ban on all vessels transiting near Yemen, including the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.  The recent decisions by Torm and Mitsui O.S.K. Lines suggest that tanker shipping may also be forced to take this longer, more expensive route, potentially exacerbating supply chain disruptions and driving up global energy prices”, Xclusiv concluded.
Source: Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide


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